Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.034863 1.168391 1.314374 1.486107 1.682966 1.901996 2.164738
2024-12-29 0.831722 1.011457 1.224668 1.497460 1.838949 2.254559 2.802115
2025-01-05 0.706593 0.902089 1.146804 1.477966 1.917984 2.487514 3.288530
2025-01-12 0.621329 0.824972 1.091243 1.468518 1.995142 2.712757 3.779408
2025-01-19 0.537242 0.736683 1.007006 1.404940 1.983842 2.807771 4.091650
2025-01-26 0.496842 0.702054 0.989709 1.428678 2.092821 3.078226 4.685294
2025-02-02 0.464136 0.673946 0.977187 1.455457 2.205723 3.362782 5.332105
2025-02-09 0.431973 0.642860 0.956221 1.465534 2.291449 3.611443 5.949135
2025-02-16 0.403332 0.613999 0.935159 1.471943 2.369834 3.853861 6.582932
2025-02-23 0.382906 0.595710 0.928215 1.499173 2.483454 4.164532 7.372754
2025-03-02 0.351380 0.556944 0.885010 1.461644 2.482070 4.275530 7.811610
2025-03-09 0.337488 0.545518 0.885015 1.496680 2.609686 4.626782 8.745935
2025-03-16 0.314542 0.517653 0.856000 1.479672 2.644265 4.816108 9.399984
2025-03-23 0.299059 0.501219 0.845075 1.493838 2.737813 5.127071 10.345182
2025-03-30 0.279652 0.476383 0.817308 1.474153 2.764135 5.308924 11.043005
2025-04-06 0.263641 0.456274 0.796224 1.464753 2.808927 5.531591 11.859744
2025-04-13 0.241354 0.423263 0.749217 1.401354 2.738847 5.509279 12.120876
2025-04-20 0.232907 0.414897 0.746940 1.425024 2.849110 5.879222 13.344947
2025-04-27 0.225439 0.407760 0.746319 1.451728 2.968142 6.281453 14.707850
2025-05-04 0.216437 0.397053 0.737987 1.461776 3.052071 6.614688 15.951218
2025-05-11 0.207650 0.386130 0.728370 1.468167 3.128335 6.938802 17.221989
2025-05-18 0.201748 0.380406 0.728571 1.495319 3.254025 7.393797 18.913617
2025-05-25 0.189429 0.361152 0.700146 1.457897 3.226763 7.475993 19.597955